educated guess

US /ˌedʒ.ə.keɪ.t̬ɪd ˈɡes/
UK /ˌedʒ.ə.keɪ.t̬ɪd ˈɡes/
"educated guess" picture
1.

conjecture éclairée, estimation éclairée

a guess that is based on knowledge and experience and is therefore likely to be correct

:
Based on the data, my educated guess is that sales will increase next quarter.
D'après les données, ma conjecture éclairée est que les ventes augmenteront le trimestre prochain.
It's not just a random guess; it's an educated guess based on years of experience.
Ce n'est pas juste une supposition aléatoire ; c'est une conjecture éclairée basée sur des années d'expérience.