as likely as not
US /æz ˈlaɪkli æz nɑːt/
UK /æz ˈlaɪkli æz nɑːt/

1.
muito provavelmente, com toda a probabilidade
very probable; almost certain
:
•
As likely as not, he'll be late again.
Muito provavelmente, ele estará atrasado novamente.
•
She'll as likely as not forget about the meeting.
Ela muito provavelmente esquecerá da reunião.